Extreme Takeover, Russian Edition: How to Salami Slice Off Your Own Little Piece of Europe

*Note: This essay was originally published on the Modern War Institute’s Commentary & Analysis site. Real estate’s expensive these days. It doesn’t matter where you are. But if you happen to be in one of the thirty-eight countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, home prices surged nearly 7 percent from 2019 to 2020. It was the fastest year-over-year…

From Kabul to Kyiv: Strengthening Deterrence Amid Questions About American Resolve

*Note: This essay was originally published on the Modern War Institute’s Commentary & Analysis site. Deterrence smells like tank exhaust and feels like an earthquake. Hundreds of armored vehicles rumbled over streets, thousands of troops marched in formation, and dozens of planes flew overhead as Ukrainians cheered during their Independence Day parade on August 24. Kyiv’s main boulevard—Khreshchatyk—filled to…

America the Undefended: The Flawed Assumption at the Heart of US Homeland Defense

*Note: This essay was originally published on the Modern War Institute’s Commentary & Analysis site. Just before COVID-19 shuttered the world, I submitted an essay to a publication. The editor kindly dismissed the essay in large part over my inclusion of one historical fact about New Zealand. I had written, “New Zealand hasn’t always been safe. Many…

Deterrence, Fast and Slow

*Note: This essay was originally published on the Modern War Institute’s Commentary & Analysis site. Two centuries ago, Napoleon embodied warfare’s changing character. This conqueror of Europe took advantage of new ways of thinking about warfare and its organization to bend Europe to his will. Of course, it wasn’t just the French emperor driving these…

Remember, Remember the Fifth of November: Radicalization and Insurgency Lessons from 1605

*Note: This essay was originally published on the Modern War Institute’s Commentary & Analysis site. Once you’ve seen a person hung, drawn, and quartered, you’ve seen it enough. Mostly because you never want to think about it again. Yet the BBC/HBO miniseries Gunpowder, starring Kit Harrington (of Game of Thrones fame) as Robert Cateseby, draws…